Hello everyone, Jared Smith here with your Charleston weather forecast for Monday, June 17th, 2024 and the rest of the week ahead.

The week ahead will generally feature temperatures around if not even a touch below normal at times through midweek before warming back up, perhaps into the mid-90s for the weekend.

We start the week off fairly quietly as a bit of lower dew point air nudges into the area, generally capping highs in the upper 80s to around 90.

High pressure aloft and at the surface will keep thunderstorm chances very low, so expect to get at least the first couple days of the weekend rain free.

High pressure starts the weekend as we head into Juneteenth, and the standard summertime afternoon thunderstorm chances respond accordingly.

Storms could be a little more widespread on Thursday as low pressure approaches Florida, enhancing the flow of moisture into our neck of the woods.

A warming trend begins Friday as high pressure offshore moves a little further south, turning the resulting flow at the surface more southerly as well and essentially turning the heat pump back on.

Low to mid-90s temperatures are expected Friday through Saturday with scattered thunderstorms each afternoon.

Taking a look into the tropics, it’s quite probable that the first tropical cyclone of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season could spin up in the Bay of Campeche this week.

As of the 8pm outlook Sunday evening, the National Hurricane Center gives this area a 50% chance of spinning up in the next couple days, with a 70% chance of development over the next week.

Regardless of how it takes shape, this will be a moisture enhancer for Texas and Mexico, but probably not too much more than that.

The other area to watch is closer to home along yet another stalled front.

The GFS spins up a small low pressure system that treks towards Florida and Georgia on Thursday, while the European model keeps it more in open wave territory.

For now, the latter solution is favored, but the Hurricane Center maintains a 30% chance for it to develop over the next 7 days.

There’s nothing I’d take my cow down for with this one right now, but we’ll keep an eye on it just in case.

The first storm to reach tropical storm strength will be given the name Alberto, and which storm gets it?

Well, that remains to be seen.

Stay tuned.

And that was Charleston Weather Daily for June 17th, 2024.

I’m Jared Smith.

Visit CHSWX.com anytime for your latest Charleston weather, conditions alerts, and forecast updates.

Thanks for listening, and I’ll talk to you tomorrow.