Wednesday's forecast: Copy-and-paste heat and humidity
Hello everyone, Jared Smith here with your Charleston weather forecast for Wednesday, July 26th, 2023.
I’ll expect more of the same on Wednesday, lows in the mid to upper 70s and possibly warmer closer to the coast, followed by mid-90s highs.
Heat indices should top out in the low 100s thanks to drier air for the mid-levels mixing down in the afternoon.
This is going to help keep dew points at bay somewhat.
And this will also have the effect to once again put a lid on most shower and thunderstorm activity along the sea breeze, though one can never totally rule out an afternoon storm this time of year.
Moisture begins to creep back into the area starting Thursday, and this will act to bring heat indices up a tad, along with slightly better afternoon thunderstorm chances.
We could see heat indices approach 105 degrees on Thursday, and perhaps be even a little bit warmer on Friday.
Remember, while the heat advisory criteria for this point in the year is a heat index at or over 110 degrees for over 2 hours, heat indices at and beyond 105 degrees are generally accepted as the danger zone for sharply increased risk of heat exhaustion.
So be mindful of this risk if you’re out in the afternoons.
Take frequent breaks, drink plenty of water, wear loose-fitting clothing, things like that.
Finally, take a look at the tropics, three areas with low probabilities for development.
First one is a trough of low pressure producing some scattered thunderstorms some 600 miles or so southwest of Bermuda.
It is drifting towards the southeast coast, but doesn’t look like it’ll amount to much if anything at all, and as such the hurricane center only gives it about a 10% chance for development over the next 7 days.
There’s really nothing to worry about with this one right now if ever, even if the map looks a little scary.
The second area of concern was, at one point, a wave that was likely to develop before it hit the Caribbean.
The wave has since hit wind shear that just won’t allow it to organize, and the hurricane center has basically written it off, even terminating its invest designation.
It was invest 95, but no longer.
The third area is south of the Cabo Verde Islands, and is being watched as it heads towards the central Atlantic, where more favorable conditions for development await in the next few days.
It’s got a long way to go before it becomes a land issue, and models are still very much in fantasy land at this range, so don’t take them at face value.
Bottom line, there’s plenty of time to watch, and there’s no imminent threat to the Low Country, just the way we like it.
And that was Charleston Weather Daily for July 26, 2023.
I’m Jared Smith.
You can find Charleston Weather Forecast online at chswx.com, on Twitter, or X, Instagram, and Facebook at chswx, and on Mastodon at chswx at chswx.social.
Thanks for listening, and I’ll talk to you tomorrow.