Hello everyone, Jared Smith here with your Charleston weather forecast for Monday, July 3rd, 2023, along with a look at your Fourth of July coming up on Tuesday.

After Sunday marked the hottest day thus far in 2023 with a high of 96 degrees, we look to follow that up with a repeat performance on Monday.

After another muggy start in the mid-70s, we look to head back to the mid-90s in the afternoon.

Mix in dewpoints in the mid-70s, and that’s going to get you heating to cease back around 105 to 106 degrees, which becomes rather dangerous for the potential for heat stroke.

Further inland we may see even higher heat indices, and that could prompt another heat advisory.

There’s a slightly better chance of showers and thunderstorms along and ahead of the sea breeze Monday afternoon, with a little bit better shear and instability available, and this could bring some relief to a few of you, but also keep an eye out for the potential for a strong to severe thunderstorm with damaging winds as the main concern.

Widespread severe weather is not expected, but lightning makes every thunderstorm dangerous anyway.

The Fourth of July looks similar, with mid-90s highs combining with mid-70s dewpoints to yield heat indices around 106.

As the mid-level ridge of high pressure, which has been keeping us hot and mostly rain free for the past few days, begins to get suppressed a little bit more to the south, we’re going to see an uptick in the risk for afternoon showers and thunderstorms, again generally along and ahead of the sea breeze.

Keep this in mind for any July 4th outdoor activities, and remember, when thunder roars, go indoors.

From there, expect a continued uptick in afternoon shower and thunderstorm chances from Wednesday on as the upper air configuration aligns to bring a little bit more in the way of disturbances to the area.

Highs will run a couple clicks cooler, but still well into the low 90s each afternoon before thunderstorms fire, and again you mix in that dewpoint and it’s going to feel like the low 100s.

Finally, we continue to monitor the risk for coastal flooding through the holiday.

Water levels Sunday night topped out around 7.27 feet mean low or low water in Charleston Harbor, and we should see a repeat performance on Monday and Tuesday evenings.

High tide in Charleston Harbor on Monday evening is at 8.58pm, while you can expect high tide just shy of 10pm on Tuesday.

Be ready for flooding, generally an hour or two on either side of these times of high tide, and keep an ear out for coastal flood advisories from the National Weather Service.

And that was Charleston Weather Daily for July 3rd, 2023.

I’m Jared Smith.

You can find Charleston weather forecasts online at chswx.com, on Twitter, Instagram, and Facebook at chswx, and on Mastodon at chswx at chswx.social.

Thanks for listening and I’ll talk to you tomorrow.